UK Climate Projections (UKCP)

What are the UK Climate Projections (UKCP)?

The UK Climate Projections (UKCP) is a climate analysis tool that forms part of the Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme. The Department of Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) and the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) support the UKCP.

UK Climate Projections headline findings

A summary of the most recent climate projections for the UK, including local, regional and global data.

Summary material on the UKCP findings.

Latest developments

UKCP Local (2.2km) Update 

The UKCP Local (2.2km) data have been updated, following a correction to the computer code identified in September 2020. No other UKCP product is affected by the error and top-level UK climate change messages from UKCP are unchanged. The full suite of UKCP Local data have been updated and we recommend using the new data for all new applications.Differences between the original and new data primarily affect snow, winter temperature and hourly precipitation extremes. We also introduce a metric for lightning. Further details on this and previous updates can be found on our Project News page.

Climate projections and visualisation for your area

You can find out more about climate change in your local area in this climate change visualisation tool.

This tool is a collaboration with the BBC. It combines our climate projections and records to visualise climate change in the UK.