Weather and climate change

Headline:

Rain and strong winds arriving from the west. Mild.

This Evening and Tonight:

Any rain easing and showers becoming confined to the northwest. Clear spells for a time before cloud, rain and strong winds spread eastwards, affecting much of the UK by dawn. Mild overnight with temperatures remaining mostly in double figures.

Friday:

Rain, heavy at times, clearing eastwards, and replaced by sunny spells and scattered showers. Windy with coastal gales, especially in the northwest with a risk of severe gales. Mild.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Wet and windy on Sunday with gales for many, otherwise mostly dry with sunny spells or showers, these locally heavy and slow to clear in places. Remaining mild throughout.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC) on Thu 20 Feb 2025

Conditions through this period are somewhat uncertain, and the detail especially so, but it is more likely than not that a mainly westerly regime will dominate the UK's weather. It is therefore likely that further spells of mild, wet and windy weather affect the UK at times, interspersed with colder, showery conditions with a risk of some snow in the north, mainly over higher ground. However, there is also a chance that drier, more settled conditions develop at times, especially towards the south or southeast of the UK. Temperatures are likely to be close to or a little above average overall, although with a risk of overnight frost in between frontal systems or in association with any drier spells.

Updated: 14:00 (UTC) on Thu 20 Feb 2025

Much of this period looks like being mainly unsettled, with Atlantic frontal systems moving east across the UK. These will bring spells of mild, wet and windy weather at times, interspersed with colder, brighter but probably showery conditions, with a risk of snow over higher ground in the north. However, it may become a little drier and more settled towards the south or southeast after mid-month, with the wettest and windiest weather possibly becoming more confined towards the northwest. Temperatures are likely to be a little above average overall, although overnight frost is possible at times where skies are clear and winds light enough.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC) on Thu 20 Feb 2025