Weather and climate change

Headline:

Bands of heavy rain moving north overnight.

This Evening and Tonight:

Rather cloudy overnight with outbreaks of heavy and perhaps thundery rain pushing north and eastwards across the UK. The far north of Scotland though remaining dry until after dawn with some clear spells. A mild night for most.

Wednesday:

Further outbreaks of heavy and thundery rain pushing northeastwards across the UK. Some localised flooding possible, mainly focused in the west. Temperatures above average, feeling warm in any sunshine.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Sunny spells and scattered showers for Thursday. A band of rain slowly pushing eastwards through Friday and into Saturday. Brighter skies either side of the rain. Temperatures staying above average.

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 15 Oct 2024

There is potential for a deep area of low pressure to pass over or close to the west/northwest of the UK early in this period, potentially bringing a spell of very strong winds and heavy rain, especially to parts of the north and west. Through next week, an oscillation between occasional spells of rain, most frequent in the northwest, with longer drier interludes in-between, is likely. It may be rather windy at times too, again especially in northern and western areas. Towards late October there are signs that, whilst northwestern areas may continue to see some rain at times, high pressure may become increasingly influential, potentially bringing more widely settled and drier conditions, with an increasing chance of overnight frost and fog.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 15 Oct 2024

High pressure may become more influential into early November, potentially providing longer spells of dry weather, but with the chance of overnight frost and fog becoming rather more widespread than in the days preceding this period. Some large fluctuations between daytime and night-time temperatures are possible, with relatively mild days where fog doesn't linger, and cold frosty nights. Towards mid-November, high pressure may become more focussed towards the northwest of the UK, allowing a gradual trend towards colder and perhaps more unsettled conditions, especially in more southern and eastern areas.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 15 Oct 2024